Back to Analyst

This Week’s Fuel Outlook: Steady as She Goes

|

For the second week in a row, U.S. average gas prices have remained steady at 2.28 cents a gallon according to GasBuddy.com.

Even as oil prices continue their seemingly confused sideways price pattern, weaker domestic gasoline demand and refiners moving to liquidate winter gasoline inventories in advance of their gradual switchover to summer blends sets the stage for higher prices in the weeks ahead.

A pattern of increasing gasoline stock builds continues on both weaker weather related demand and stronger than expected regional refinery output, although signals from the Northeast and Midwest show supply has now begun to trend downwards from the previous week. Despite the surge of nearly 10% in gasoline stockpiles since the end of 2016 to 259 million barrels, refinery pre-maintenance ramps up and short term fuel demand explains the build.

The uneven supply picture means that compared to last week, 18 states saw marginal decreases with Michigan (-6.8), Ohio (-6.4) and Kentucky (-5.7) seeing drops of 6-7 cents a gallon. At the other end of the spectrum, 31 states saw increases of about 2 cents a gallon with Indiana managing a 6 cent increase followed by Wyoming (+4.1), Colorado (+3.9), Delaware (+3.8), California (+2.8) and Hawaii (+2.8). The balance of states that saw increases, estimated to be about 60%, saw only an average of one cent a gallon, with two states, North Dakota and West Virginia seeing no change at all.

The nation’s cheapest gasoline is again found in South Carolina where gas prices average $2.027 a gallon, followed by Alabama ($2.053), Tennessee ($2.058), Oklahoma ($2.063) and Texas ($2.068). Cheapest cities to buy that gas are also found in South Carolina where one can still buy gasoline for $ 1.89 cents a gallon in Edgefield County. Conversely, the nation’s most expensive states remain Hawaii at $3.114 followed by California at $2.903 a gallon on average, then Washington ($2.734), Nevada and Oregon at $2.531 each.

Oil prices continue to trade lightly remaining in the $53 a barrel range due in large part to lingering doubts over OPEC’s inability to dent the vast global oversupply of crude and reports that several nations continue to increase output, including Libya, Iraq, Nigeria and Iran. Indeed, the growing number of rig counts in both Canada and the US which rose respectively by 2 and 6 bringing total US rigs in operation to 597 while Canadian rigs now stand at 116.

For budget-minded drivers, GasBuddy is the travel and navigation app that is used by more North American drivers to save money on gas than any other. Unlike fuel retailer apps, as well as newer apps focused on fuel savings, GasBuddy covers 150,000+ gas stations in North America, giving drivers 27 ways to save on fuel. That’s why GasBuddy has been downloaded nearly 90 million times – more than any other travel and navigation app focused on gas savings.